Arcos vs Norma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
44%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arcos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
NAV
2 - 0
ARC
53%
19%
28%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ARC
2 - 0
VIS
26%
22%
53%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +2 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
SAM
4 - 0
ARC
69%
18%
13%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
ARC
1 - 5
ABE
38%
24%
38%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
EST
6 - 0
ARC
73%
15%
12%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Norma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
VIS
3 - 1
NOR
32%
22%
46%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
NOR
0 - 0
SAM
41%
23%
36%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
NOR
1 - 4
UNA
11%
17%
72%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
CDC
3 - 2
NOR
49%
21%
30%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
NOR
1 - 2
EST
41%
22%
37%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |