Arcos vs Norma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
8.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arcos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
EST
3 - 2
ARC
38%
22%
41%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
QUI
2 - 1
ARC
9%
15%
77%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
VIS
2 - 2
ARC
11%
16%
73%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
ARC
3 - 0
ABE
74%
16%
11%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
PIQ
3 - 6
ARC
13%
17%
70%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Norma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
LAN
1 - 2
NOR
49%
22%
29%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
NOR
3 - 0
VIS
46%
23%
32%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
NOR
1 - 1
SAM
31%
23%
46%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
COV
2 - 1
NOR
54%
21%
25%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
NOR
1 - 0
CAS
63%
19%
18%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |