Arcos vs Piqueras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
34.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arcos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
VIS
1 - 1
ARC
22%
20%
59%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
ARC
2 - 1
SJE
52%
21%
28%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
VAL
3 - 2
ARC
40%
22%
38%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
ARC
3 - 1
LAN
69%
16%
15%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
SAM
1 - 0
ARC
46%
22%
32%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Piqueras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
PIQ
2 - 1
QUI
60%
19%
21%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
VIS
0 - 0
PIQ
22%
21%
57%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
PIQ
1 - 1
SJE
61%
19%
20%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
VAL
1 - 1
PIQ
38%
22%
39%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
PIQ
2 - 0
LAN
64%
18%
18%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |