Arcos vs Covaleda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.2%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
7.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+166%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arcos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
VAL
4 - 1
ARC
23%
20%
57%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
ARC
0 - 5
NOR
79%
13%
8%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | -2 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
EST
3 - 2
ARC
38%
22%
41%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
QUI
2 - 1
ARC
9%
15%
77%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
VIS
2 - 2
ARC
11%
16%
73%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Covaleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
COV
1 - 6
NAV
34%
22%
44%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 0
COV
23%
21%
55%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | -2 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
VIS
0 - 2
COV
34%
23%
43%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
COV
4 - 4
NAV
57%
21%
22%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
COV
2 - 1
NOR
54%
21%
25%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |