Arcos vs Castroviejo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
26.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arcos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
ARC
3 - 3
SJE
25%
21%
54%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
NAV
1 - 3
ARC
44%
21%
36%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
ARC
1 - 2
PIQ
16%
19%
65%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
ARC
2 - 3
SAM
32%
23%
46%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
ABE
2 - 2
ARC
82%
11%
7%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Castroviejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
CAS
3 - 1
VIS
50%
21%
29%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 1
SJE
15%
18%
67%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CAS
3 - 3
PIQ
11%
17%
72%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
SAM
2 - 0
CAS
71%
17%
13%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -2 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 2
VAL
20%
19%
61%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |