Arcos vs Castroviejo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
21.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arcos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
ARC
3 - 1
NAV
30%
20%
50%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
COV
1 - 1
ARC
39%
22%
39%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ARC
0 - 2
VAL
48%
22%
31%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
NOR
2 - 2
ARC
86%
10%
5%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
QUI
2 - 0
ARC
59%
19%
22%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Castroviejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
NAV
3 - 0
CAS
53%
20%
27%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 1
TAR
8%
14%
78%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
COV
0 - 0
CAS
42%
22%
36%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
CAL
3 - 1
CAS
57%
20%
23%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 0
VAL
33%
22%
45%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | +2 |