Arcos vs Abejar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
35.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arcos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
VAL
4 - 0
ARC
79%
13%
8%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
ARC
2 - 2
SJE
21%
20%
59%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 1
ARC
62%
20%
18%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
ARC
2 - 2
NOR
35%
21%
44%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
NAV
2 - 0
ARC
53%
19%
28%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Abejar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
SJE
3 - 1
ABE
62%
19%
19%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
ABE
0 - 2
NOR
66%
18%
17%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
VIS
1 - 2
ABE
37%
24%
38%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
ABE
0 - 1
SAM
44%
24%
31%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
EST
1 - 1
ABE
64%
19%
17%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |