Arcos vs Abejar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
41.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arcos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 0
ARC
16%
18%
66%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
NAV
4 - 1
ARC
41%
21%
38%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ARC
5 - 1
COV
79%
13%
8%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
VAL
4 - 1
ARC
23%
20%
57%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
ARC
0 - 5
NOR
79%
13%
8%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Abejar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ABE
8 - 1
NAV
46%
21%
33%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
COV
0 - 2
ABE
19%
21%
60%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ABE
4 - 1
VAL
51%
22%
28%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
NOR
2 - 2
ABE
51%
22%
27%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ABE
2 - 0
QUI
60%
20%
21%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |