Arconatese vs Real Calepina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
20.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-72%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arconatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
4 - 2
ARC
34%
26%
40%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
ARC
1 - 1
LEO
70%
17%
14%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
VCB
2 - 2
ARC
53%
22%
25%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
OLG
0 - 0
ARC
26%
25%
49%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ARC
2 - 1
USB
33%
23%
44%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Real Calepina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
CAL
3 - 0
CAR
27%
23%
50%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 0
ADR
23%
22%
56%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 0
CAL
56%
22%
23%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
DES
1 - 0
CAL
69%
17%
14%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 1
CAS
31%
23%
46%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |