Arconatese vs Folgore Caratese analysis

Arconatese Folgore Caratese
46 ELO 43
-0.3% Tilt -12.4%
6718º General ELO ranking 4128º
254º Country ELO ranking 136º
ELO win probability
58.3%
Arconatese
22.9%
Draw
18.8%
Folgore Caratese

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
Arconatese
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.8%
Win probability
Folgore Caratese
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Arconatese
-41%
+12%
Folgore Caratese

Points and table prediction

Arconatese
Their league position
Folgore Caratese
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
51
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Caldiero Terme
77
77
100%
Piacenza
74
74
100%
 Pro Palazzolo
73
73
100%
Desenzano Calvina
70
70
100%
Varesina
68
68
100%
Arconatese
68
68
100%
Calcio Brusaporto
54
54
100%
Villa Valle
53
53
100%
AC Chievo Verona
53
53
100%
Casatese
10º
52
52
10º
100%
Folgore Caratese
11º
51
51
11º
100%
Club Milano
12º
45
45
12º
0%
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
13º
45
45
13º
0%
Caravaggio
14º
44
44
14º
100%
Real Calepina
15º
42
42
15º
100%
AC Legnano
16º
42
42
16º
100%
Castellanzese
17º
39
39
17º
100%
Crema
18º
34
34
18º
100%
Tritium
19º
29
29
19º
100%
US Ponte San Pietro
20º
25
25
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Arconatese
Folgore Caratese
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Arconatese
Folgore Caratese
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Arconatese
Arconatese
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Apr. 2024
TRI
Tritium
0 - 1
Arconatese
ARC
16%
21%
63%
46 29 17 0
28 Mar. 2024
ARC
Arconatese
1 - 3
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
VCB
66%
20%
14%
46 38 8 0
24 Mar. 2024
CAS
Casatese
1 - 1
Arconatese
ARC
44%
26%
31%
46 45 1 0
16 Mar. 2024
ARC
Arconatese
0 - 1
Real Calepina
CAL
72%
17%
10%
46 34 12 0
10 Mar. 2024
VIL
Villa Valle
0 - 1
Arconatese
ARC
39%
26%
35%
45 43 2 +1

Matches

Folgore Caratese
Folgore Caratese
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Apr. 2024
FOL
Folgore Caratese
0 - 2
Desenzano Calvina
DES
28%
27%
45%
44 50 6 0
28 Mar. 2024
TRI
Tritium
0 - 0
Folgore Caratese
FOL
18%
22%
60%
44 27 17 0
24 Mar. 2024
FOL
Folgore Caratese
2 - 1
Caravaggio
CAR
62%
22%
16%
44 34 10 0
17 Mar. 2024
FOL
Folgore Caratese
3 - 1
Casatese
CAS
34%
28%
38%
41 46 5 +3
10 Mar. 2024
FCC
AC Chievo Verona
1 - 1
Folgore Caratese
FOL
35%
23%
42%
41 34 7 0