Arconatese vs Desenzano Calvina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
38%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-72%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arconatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 1
ARC
57%
23%
20%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
ARC
3 - 3
USP
46%
22%
32%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
SON
0 - 1
ARC
36%
24%
40%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
ARC
0 - 1
NOV
60%
20%
21%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
FOL
0 - 1
ARC
57%
23%
20%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Desenzano Calvina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
DES
5 - 3
LEO
79%
14%
8%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
DES
4 - 1
NOV
61%
20%
20%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
CAL
3 - 1
DES
45%
24%
32%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 1
DES
55%
21%
24%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
DES
2 - 1
OLG
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |