Arconatese vs Alcione analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
51%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arconatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
PIA
2 - 0
ARC
56%
24%
21%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ARC
3 - 1
CAL
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
CAL
0 - 0
ARC
31%
27%
43%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ARC
2 - 1
USP
58%
23%
20%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CRE
0 - 2
ARC
28%
26%
46%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Alcione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 5
ALC
30%
27%
43%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ALC
4 - 2
PDH
81%
13%
6%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
LIG
0 - 2
ALC
33%
26%
41%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ALC
1 - 0
ALB
86%
10%
4%
|
50 | 13 | 37 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ASD
1 - 0
ALC
17%
24%
59%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | -1 |