Arco Baúlhe vs Geres GD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
15.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arco Baúlhe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
PEV
0 - 0
ABA
71%
17%
12%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ABA
3 - 0
PON
67%
18%
15%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
EMI
1 - 0
ABA
22%
22%
56%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
RUI
1 - 2
ABA
60%
20%
20%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ABA
1 - 1
DSC
42%
23%
35%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Geres GD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
GER
1 - 0
ANT
11%
17%
72%
|
11 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
REG
1 - 0
GER
75%
15%
10%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
GER
1 - 2
TRA
11%
18%
71%
|
11 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
AUR
4 - 0
GER
80%
13%
7%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
GER
2 - 1
PED
26%
23%
52%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |