Archena vs CF Base Abarán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Archena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
ARC
3 - 1
JAV
65%
20%
16%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
OLI
5 - 3
ARC
47%
24%
29%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
ARC
1 - 1
ALQ
69%
19%
13%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
ARC
1 - 1
PUT
34%
25%
42%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
SAN
2 - 1
ARC
36%
25%
39%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
ALB
2 - 1
ABA
38%
25%
38%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
ABA
1 - 1
BUL
36%
25%
39%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
CAR
0 - 1
ABA
65%
20%
15%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 2
ABA
77%
15%
8%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
ABA
4 - 2
LAH
28%
25%
47%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +2 |