Unión Archena U19 vs Real Murcia U19 B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
67.9%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
9º
15º
12º
49
6º
16º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 75 |
1º
|
86% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 73 |
2º
|
86% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
63 | 64 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
64 | 64 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 46 |
9º
|
86% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
86% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 38 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 22 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 11 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Archena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
MMC
3 - 2
ARC
74%
15%
11%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
ARC
2 - 2
ALZ
23%
24%
53%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
LEV
7 - 0
ARC
87%
10%
3%
|
8 | 24 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
ARC
0 - 1
VIL
4%
10%
86%
|
8 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
ELC
2 - 0
ARC
76%
15%
9%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Real Murcia U19 B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
REA
0 - 1
ACA
68%
17%
15%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
REA
0 - 1
ADM
57%
20%
23%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
ARC
1 - 5
REA
22%
20%
58%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
REA
4 - 1
PUE
81%
12%
7%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2022 |
RAN
1 - 2
REA
35%
24%
41%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |