Arcellasco vs Vimercatese Oreno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
22.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arcellasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ARC
1 - 1
CAS
34%
23%
42%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
NOV
2 - 1
ARC
35%
24%
41%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SOV
1 - 2
ARC
11%
19%
70%
|
30 | 11 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ARC
2 - 2
LUC
35%
24%
42%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
LIS
1 - 1
ARC
63%
20%
17%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Vimercatese Oreno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
BRI
0 - 1
VIM
59%
21%
20%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
SOV
0 - 2
VIM
12%
20%
69%
|
28 | 11 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
VIM
1 - 4
LIS
43%
24%
33%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
VIM
0 - 1
NOV
65%
20%
15%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CIN
1 - 0
VIM
59%
21%
20%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |