Arcellasco vs Vimercatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
21.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arcellasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
BIA
1 - 1
ARC
40%
24%
36%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ARC
0 - 0
COL
38%
23%
39%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
BRE
0 - 1
ARC
46%
24%
31%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ARC
0 - 0
CIS
28%
23%
49%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 0
ARC
30%
23%
47%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Vimercatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
VIM
3 - 0
BRE
40%
24%
37%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CIS
0 - 1
VIM
76%
15%
9%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
BRI
3 - 2
VIM
54%
21%
24%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
VIM
1 - 0
LIS
29%
23%
48%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
VIM
1 - 1
VIM
70%
18%
13%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |