Arcade vs Sampayo U. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
27.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+124%
-82%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arcade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
ARC
2 - 1
COT
48%
23%
29%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
MON
0 - 4
ARC
29%
22%
49%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
ARC
2 - 2
SAD
45%
22%
33%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
PUE
0 - 0
ARC
71%
16%
13%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ARC
4 - 0
SAL
48%
22%
30%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sampayo U.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
SAM
4 - 0
MON
69%
18%
14%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SAD
1 - 0
SAM
40%
23%
38%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
SAM
2 - 1
PUE
33%
23%
44%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
SAL
2 - 5
SAM
28%
24%
49%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
SAM
0 - 0
CER
33%
23%
45%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |