Arcade vs Moraña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.8%
6.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arcade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
AMA
1 - 2
ARC
35%
23%
41%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
ARC
2 - 2
GUA
74%
16%
11%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
CAN
0 - 2
ARC
52%
22%
26%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 1
ARC
35%
24%
42%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
ARC
1 - 0
CUN
63%
19%
19%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Moraña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
MOR
0 - 3
CAS
24%
20%
56%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
CUN
3 - 0
MOR
56%
20%
24%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 0
LGU
16%
20%
65%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 0
MOR
64%
18%
18%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
MOR
0 - 1
CAM
53%
21%
25%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |