Arca vs Turbighese 1921 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.5%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
10%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
PAS
2 - 1
ARC
61%
20%
19%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
ARC
1 - 0
SOL
30%
23%
47%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Turbighese 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SED
1 - 0
TUR
83%
12%
6%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
TUR
1 - 1
PAS
15%
19%
66%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |