Arca vs Pregnanese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
48.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
FOO
6 - 1
ARC
74%
16%
11%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ARC
1 - 2
CAS
14%
19%
67%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CAS
5 - 1
ARC
62%
19%
18%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ARC
1 - 2
BON
26%
23%
51%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
BOL
3 - 2
ARC
69%
17%
14%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Pregnanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
PRE
1 - 0
TUR
76%
15%
9%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
PAS
0 - 1
PRE
54%
22%
24%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
PRE
5 - 4
SOL
36%
24%
41%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
QUI
2 - 2
PRE
51%
22%
27%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
PRE
0 - 2
NOV
70%
18%
13%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -1 |