Arca vs Ossona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
60.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
TRI
3 - 2
ARC
52%
22%
26%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
ARC
3 - 1
PRE
29%
23%
48%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
FOO
6 - 1
ARC
74%
16%
11%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ARC
1 - 2
CAS
14%
19%
67%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CAS
5 - 1
ARC
62%
19%
18%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ossona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
OSS
2 - 3
TUR
82%
12%
6%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
PAS
2 - 2
OSS
25%
23%
53%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
OSS
1 - 3
SOL
71%
17%
12%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
QUI
1 - 3
OSS
25%
23%
52%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
OSS
3 - 1
NOV
78%
14%
8%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |