ARC Alphense vs LRC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
30.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
+144%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ARC Alphense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
VVZ
3 - 0
ARC
50%
21%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
ARC
2 - 1
ROD
76%
14%
10%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
ASC
4 - 1
ARC
14%
18%
68%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | -3 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
ARC
4 - 0
ALM
84%
11%
6%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
ARC
0 - 4
ZUI
64%
18%
18%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
LRC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
LRC
3 - 0
ZUI
46%
23%
31%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
LES
0 - 1
LRC
9%
16%
75%
|
30 | 11 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
LRC
2 - 4
EEM
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
CSW
2 - 4
LRC
36%
23%
41%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
LRC
2 - 1
NIV
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |