ARC Alphense vs De Dijk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.1%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.4%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.9%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.7%
3.1%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
2º
8º
5º
5
15º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 47 |
7º
|
70.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 45 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
32.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
66% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
72% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
73.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ARC Alphense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ODI
2 - 3
ARC
56%
21%
23%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ARC
4 - 2
NIE
35%
24%
41%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ZWA
2 - 1
ARC
30%
22%
48%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ARC
1 - 1
GOE
35%
24%
42%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ACH
2 - 1
ARC
28%
25%
47%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
De Dijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
DED
0 - 3
POO
8%
13%
79%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
WNC
3 - 1
DED
78%
14%
8%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ODI
5 - 0
DED
92%
6%
2%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
DED
0 - 1
NIE
9%
14%
78%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ZWA
0 - 1
DED
84%
11%
5%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | +1 |