ARC Alphense vs Apeldoorn CSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
48.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ARC Alphense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
ARC
2 - 4
ODI
43%
24%
34%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
DOV
2 - 0
ARC
70%
17%
13%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
ARC
1 - 5
TER
27%
21%
52%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 5
ARC
57%
21%
22%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
ARC
3 - 3
HUI
45%
22%
33%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Apeldoorn CSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
APE
1 - 2
BEN
48%
24%
28%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
TER
2 - 0
APE
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
APE
4 - 0
SPO
58%
21%
21%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
HUI
5 - 4
APE
37%
24%
39%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
APE
3 - 2
VOL
50%
23%
27%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |