Arbroath vs Third Lanark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
42.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1937 |
FAL
2 - 2
ARB
78%
13%
10%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1937 |
ARB
2 - 1
MHE
20%
20%
60%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1937 |
ARB
2 - 0
STJ
38%
23%
39%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1937 |
PAR
0 - 0
ARB
67%
17%
16%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1937 |
ARB
4 - 0
AYR
48%
22%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Third Lanark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1937 |
TLA
1 - 1
HAM
52%
20%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1937 |
QOS
2 - 4
TLA
30%
23%
47%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1937 |
TLA
1 - 1
QUE
75%
14%
11%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1937 |
ABE
1 - 0
TLA
62%
19%
20%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1937 |
TLA
2 - 0
ABE
48%
23%
29%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |