Arbroath vs Stranraer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
ARB
0 - 2
FOR
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
STE
1 - 4
ARB
18%
22%
60%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
ARB
1 - 0
BRE
78%
15%
8%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
ARB
28%
25%
47%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
ARB
0 - 2
RAI
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Stranraer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
STR
3 - 4
EAS
35%
27%
39%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
PAR
4 - 1
STR
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 1
STR
53%
24%
24%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
STR
1 - 2
MON
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
AIR
3 - 0
STR
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |