Arbroath vs Stranraer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2011 |
CLY
1 - 1
ARB
25%
24%
51%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
THE
2 - 5
ARB
25%
24%
51%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
ARB
2 - 1
BER
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
ALB
0 - 2
ARB
35%
26%
38%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
ARB
2 - 1
BLA
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Stranraer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
STR
1 - 2
ELG
63%
20%
18%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
QUE
3 - 3
STR
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
BLA
2 - 1
STR
49%
25%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
STR
1 - 3
ALB
65%
20%
15%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
STR
3 - 1
CLY
75%
15%
10%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |