Arbroath vs Raith Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
AIR
0 - 1
ARB
23%
24%
53%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
FOR
2 - 3
ARB
21%
24%
55%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
ARB
5 - 2
STE
74%
17%
9%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
ARB
0 - 1
STR
72%
17%
11%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
BRE
1 - 5
ARB
16%
22%
62%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Raith Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
RAI
4 - 2
DUM
65%
21%
15%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
MON
3 - 2
RAI
32%
26%
41%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
RAI
2 - 0
AIR
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
QUE
0 - 3
RAI
23%
23%
54%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
STE
1 - 3
RAI
24%
25%
51%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |