Arbroath vs Raith Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
17.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1938 |
ARB
3 - 3
GLA
25%
21%
54%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1938 |
KIL
1 - 1
ARB
63%
19%
18%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1938 |
ARB
1 - 1
QOS
46%
22%
32%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1938 |
ARB
0 - 2
ABE
26%
22%
52%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1938 |
QUE
1 - 0
ARB
56%
20%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Raith Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1938 |
RAI
0 - 1
MHE
26%
21%
53%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1938 |
CEL
6 - 1
RAI
85%
9%
6%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1938 |
RAI
1 - 3
STM
64%
20%
16%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1938 |
PAR
2 - 1
RAI
72%
15%
13%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1938 |
STJ
1 - 2
RAI
74%
14%
12%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |