Arbroath vs Montrose analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 1
ARB
35%
26%
39%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
STR
0 - 0
ARB
23%
24%
53%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
ARB
2 - 1
EAS
61%
23%
17%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
ARB
0 - 2
STE
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
DUM
2 - 0
ARB
18%
23%
58%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
MON
3 - 1
STR
58%
23%
20%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
MON
2 - 0
STE
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
MON
1 - 3
DUM
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
AIR
1 - 0
MON
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
RAI
4 - 1
MON
58%
24%
19%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |