Arbroath vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
39%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1935 |
ALB
5 - 2
ARB
63%
19%
18%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1935 |
ARB
0 - 0
GLA
16%
17%
67%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1935 |
AYR
0 - 2
ARB
64%
19%
17%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1935 |
ARB
3 - 2
HIB
56%
21%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1935 |
AIR
3 - 3
ARB
73%
15%
12%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1935 |
KIL
1 - 0
TLA
66%
17%
17%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1935 |
STJ
0 - 0
KIL
54%
21%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1935 |
KIL
4 - 2
QOS
73%
15%
13%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1935 |
GLA
2 - 1
KIL
74%
14%
12%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1935 |
CLY
1 - 0
KIL
49%
22%
30%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |