Arbroath vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
54.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
DUN
2 - 0
ARB
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
ARB
2 - 4
QOS
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
AYR
0 - 1
ARB
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
ARB
1 - 0
RAI
29%
26%
45%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
ALL
1 - 1
ARB
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
HOM
2 - 0
AYR
72%
17%
10%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
HOM
2 - 1
DUN
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
ICT
1 - 1
HOM
30%
27%
43%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
HOM
1 - 1
GRE
74%
17%
9%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2021 |
QOS
1 - 1
HOM
23%
26%
51%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |