Arbroath vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.1%
60.4%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1939 |
ABE
4 - 0
ARB
80%
12%
8%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1938 |
ARB
3 - 1
QUE
50%
23%
27%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 1938 |
HAM
1 - 1
ARB
78%
13%
9%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1938 |
ARB
3 - 1
STJ
33%
24%
44%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1938 |
PAR
3 - 1
ARB
75%
14%
11%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1939 |
HOM
0 - 1
HIB
77%
14%
10%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1938 |
CEL
2 - 2
HOM
63%
18%
19%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1938 |
HOM
5 - 0
PAR
69%
16%
14%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1938 |
HOM
2 - 3
HAM
69%
16%
15%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1938 |
CLY
2 - 6
HOM
35%
22%
43%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |