Arbroath vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
56.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1938 |
CLY
6 - 1
ARB
59%
20%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1938 |
KIL
2 - 1
ARB
63%
18%
18%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1938 |
GLA
3 - 1
ARB
73%
15%
12%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1938 |
ARB
2 - 0
HAM
36%
22%
42%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1938 |
ARB
2 - 2
QUE
51%
22%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1938 |
GRE
1 - 2
HOM
26%
21%
53%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1938 |
QOS
2 - 3
HOM
21%
20%
59%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1938 |
QUE
1 - 4
HOM
28%
21%
51%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1938 |
HOM
2 - 1
ABE
56%
20%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1938 |
HOM
2 - 1
HAM
61%
19%
20%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |