Arbroath vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.2%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
69%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
8%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
14%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1936 |
CLY
4 - 2
ARB
64%
18%
18%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1936 |
ABE
4 - 0
ARB
83%
11%
6%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1936 |
ARB
2 - 1
CLY
46%
22%
32%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1936 |
ARB
1 - 1
AIR
56%
21%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1936 |
DUN
3 - 0
ARB
81%
12%
7%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1936 |
HOM
3 - 2
DUN
78%
13%
9%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1936 |
HOM
3 - 4
MHE
55%
20%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1936 |
DUN
2 - 5
HOM
24%
20%
56%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1936 |
HOM
1 - 2
ABE
57%
20%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1936 |
HOM
1 - 1
GLA
56%
20%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |