Arbroath vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.3%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
68.7%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
14%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1936 |
ARB
2 - 1
CLY
52%
23%
26%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1936 |
QOS
3 - 2
ARB
63%
19%
18%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1936 |
ARB
0 - 0
KIL
38%
23%
39%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1935 |
ALB
5 - 2
ARB
63%
19%
18%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1935 |
ARB
0 - 0
GLA
16%
17%
67%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1936 |
DUN
2 - 0
HOM
27%
20%
53%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1936 |
HOM
3 - 0
DUN
56%
20%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1936 |
HIB
1 - 1
HOM
20%
19%
61%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1935 |
HOM
3 - 0
AIR
78%
13%
9%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1935 |
HOM
2 - 0
QOS
85%
9%
6%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |