Arbroath vs Greenock Morton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
18.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1938 |
QOS
0 - 1
ARB
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1938 |
CEL
4 - 0
ARB
78%
13%
9%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1938 |
ARB
2 - 1
STM
54%
22%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1938 |
TLA
1 - 1
ARB
70%
16%
14%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1938 |
ARB
0 - 1
FAL
36%
24%
41%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1938 |
ABE
4 - 1
GRE
79%
13%
9%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1938 |
STM
7 - 0
GRE
67%
18%
15%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1938 |
GRE
2 - 4
HIB
65%
18%
16%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1938 |
AYR
6 - 2
GRE
63%
19%
18%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1938 |
GRE
1 - 2
PAR
49%
21%
30%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |