Arbroath vs Forfar Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
18.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
QOS
5 - 1
ARB
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2013 |
ARB
1 - 0
EAS
57%
22%
21%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
ARB
2 - 1
ALB
73%
17%
10%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
BRE
3 - 2
ARB
43%
24%
34%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 1
ARB
45%
23%
32%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
QOS
3 - 1
FOR
78%
15%
7%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 1
AYR
55%
22%
23%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
STE
2 - 0
FOR
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 4
BRE
54%
22%
24%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 2
EAS
52%
22%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |