Arbroath vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
56.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
AIR
2 - 1
ARB
61%
23%
17%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
ALL
2 - 2
ARB
65%
20%
16%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2003 |
ARB
1 - 0
RAI
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
ARB
2 - 2
HAM
39%
27%
34%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
ARB
0 - 0
FOR
34%
27%
39%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
CLY
1 - 2
FAL
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
FAL
0 - 2
ROS
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
RAI
0 - 1
FAL
32%
26%
43%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
FAL
0 - 0
QOS
64%
20%
17%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
AYR
1 - 1
FAL
30%
26%
44%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |