Arbroath vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
46.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1939 |
ARB
2 - 0
MHE
27%
21%
52%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1939 |
ARB
4 - 1
KIL
40%
23%
37%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1939 |
STJ
4 - 3
ARB
71%
16%
13%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1939 |
RAI
1 - 3
ARB
65%
19%
17%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1939 |
ARB
3 - 0
CLY
39%
24%
37%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1939 |
FAL
1 - 1
STJ
64%
17%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1939 |
FAL
2 - 1
QOS
70%
16%
14%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1939 |
GLA
2 - 1
FAL
63%
18%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1939 |
FAL
1 - 3
ABE
55%
21%
25%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1939 |
HAM
1 - 3
FAL
52%
21%
28%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |