Arbroath vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
33%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1936 |
DUN
6 - 1
ARB
79%
13%
8%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1936 |
ARB
2 - 3
CEL
22%
21%
57%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1936 |
ARB
0 - 0
MHE
16%
18%
66%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1936 |
PAR
3 - 1
ARB
71%
16%
13%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1936 |
QOS
2 - 3
ARB
58%
21%
22%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1936 |
FAL
4 - 1
PAR
56%
20%
24%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1936 |
FAL
1 - 1
MHE
40%
22%
37%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1936 |
STM
3 - 3
FAL
59%
20%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1936 |
FAL
6 - 4
DUN
66%
17%
18%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1936 |
KIL
3 - 2
FAL
71%
16%
13%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |