Arbroath vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
30%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2015 |
EDI
0 - 2
ARB
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
ARB
5 - 0
BER
45%
24%
31%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
ALB
1 - 1
ARB
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
ARB
1 - 1
QUE
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
ELG
2 - 1
ARB
57%
21%
22%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
AIR
3 - 2
DUN
60%
21%
19%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
DUN
1 - 3
FOR
38%
25%
37%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
BRE
3 - 0
DUN
59%
22%
20%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
DUN
1 - 0
STR
31%
26%
43%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
PET
1 - 1
DUN
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |