Arbroath vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
14.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
ARB
1 - 0
STE
60%
21%
19%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
ALB
1 - 0
ARB
24%
25%
51%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 1
ARB
37%
24%
39%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
ARB
1 - 1
CWB
59%
22%
20%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
BRE
2 - 3
ARB
48%
24%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
STI
0 - 1
DUM
51%
23%
27%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
DUM
1 - 1
AIR
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2011 |
DUM
2 - 1
ALB
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
STE
3 - 1
DUM
54%
24%
23%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 2
DUM
63%
21%
17%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |