Arbroath vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
BER
3 - 2
ARB
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
ARB
1 - 2
QUE
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
ARB
2 - 1
ELG
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
STE
1 - 2
ARB
53%
23%
23%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
THE
0 - 2
ARB
20%
23%
57%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
THE
0 - 2
DUM
33%
26%
41%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
DUM
2 - 0
MON
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
EAS
1 - 0
DUM
50%
26%
25%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
DUM
3 - 1
ALB
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
DUM
4 - 0
STE
27%
26%
47%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | +2 |