Arbroath vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
ARB
2 - 1
ELG
66%
20%
13%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
MON
0 - 1
ARB
22%
25%
54%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
ARB
1 - 0
BER
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
EAS
1 - 2
ARB
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
STE
1 - 2
ARB
45%
25%
31%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
BER
2 - 1
DUM
68%
21%
12%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
DUM
1 - 2
BER
33%
27%
40%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
DUM
2 - 1
THE
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
QUE
2 - 0
DUM
49%
27%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
DUM
3 - 1
ALB
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |