Arbroath vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
ARB
2 - 2
ROS
36%
28%
36%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1997 |
QUE
3 - 2
ARB
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
BER
1 - 3
ARB
63%
22%
16%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
MON
0 - 3
ARB
59%
23%
18%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +3 |
| 16 Aug. 1997 |
ARB
2 - 0
THE
44%
27%
29%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +3 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
ALB
2 - 1
DUM
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
DUM
0 - 1
ALL
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
BER
5 - 3
DUM
51%
25%
24%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1997 |
DUM
2 - 2
MON
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
DUM
1 - 5
ABE
18%
22%
60%
|
46 | 74 | 28 | 0 |