Arbroath vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
19.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1976 |
CEL
2 - 1
ARB
83%
12%
6%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1976 |
DUN
2 - 0
ARB
76%
14%
10%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1976 |
ARB
0 - 5
CEL
22%
19%
59%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1976 |
ARB
1 - 3
DUN
45%
22%
33%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1976 |
DUM
2 - 0
ARB
65%
18%
17%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1976 |
DUN
1 - 1
DUM
70%
17%
14%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1976 |
DUM
3 - 3
CEL
26%
22%
53%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1976 |
DUM
1 - 2
DUN
49%
22%
29%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1976 |
CEL
3 - 0
DUM
77%
14%
10%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 1976 |
DUM
2 - 0
ARB
65%
18%
17%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |