Arbroath vs Dumbarton analysis

Arbroath Dumbarton
61 ELO 70
16.8% Tilt 6.9%
2454º General ELO ranking 3904º
28º Country ELO ranking 46º
ELO win probability
61.5%
Arbroath
19%
Draw
19.5%
Dumbarton

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
Arbroath
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
19.5%
Win probability
Dumbarton
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Arbroath
+8%
+6%
Dumbarton

ELO progression

Arbroath
Dumbarton
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Arbroath
Arbroath
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Aug. 1976
CEL
Celtic
2 - 1
Arbroath
ARB
83%
12%
6%
63 83 20 0
25 Aug. 1976
DUN
Dundee United
2 - 0
Arbroath
ARB
76%
14%
10%
63 77 14 0
21 Aug. 1976
ARB
Arbroath
0 - 5
Celtic
CEL
22%
19%
59%
64 83 19 -1
18 Aug. 1976
ARB
Arbroath
1 - 3
Dundee United
DUN
45%
22%
33%
64 76 12 0
14 Aug. 1976
DUM
Dumbarton
2 - 0
Arbroath
ARB
65%
18%
17%
65 69 4 -1

Matches

Dumbarton
Dumbarton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Aug. 1976
DUN
Dundee United
1 - 1
Dumbarton
DUM
70%
17%
14%
69 77 8 0
25 Aug. 1976
DUM
Dumbarton
3 - 3
Celtic
CEL
26%
22%
53%
69 83 14 0
21 Aug. 1976
DUM
Dumbarton
1 - 2
Dundee United
DUN
49%
22%
29%
69 77 8 0
18 Aug. 1976
CEL
Celtic
3 - 0
Dumbarton
DUM
77%
14%
10%
70 82 12 -1
14 Aug. 1976
DUM
Dumbarton
2 - 0
Arbroath
ARB
65%
18%
17%
69 65 4 +1