Arbroath vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1973 |
AYR
2 - 0
ARB
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1973 |
ARB
2 - 1
PAR
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1973 |
EAS
2 - 0
ARB
67%
21%
13%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1972 |
ARB
5 - 1
FAL
36%
29%
35%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | +2 |
| 23 Dec. 1972 |
MHE
2 - 0
ARB
75%
17%
9%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1973 |
DUM
0 - 2
HOM
29%
26%
44%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1972 |
DUM
4 - 2
PAR
32%
28%
40%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | +2 |
| 23 Dec. 1972 |
DUN
3 - 2
DUM
85%
10%
4%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1972 |
DUM
0 - 0
MHE
37%
28%
36%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1972 |
AYR
2 - 0
DUM
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |