Arbroath vs Dumbarton analysis

Arbroath Dumbarton
64 ELO 63
18.7% Tilt 1.2%
2454º General ELO ranking 3930º
28º Country ELO ranking 46º
ELO win probability
61.7%
Arbroath
22%
Draw
16.3%
Dumbarton

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
Arbroath
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.3%
Win probability
Dumbarton
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Arbroath
+2%
+2%
Dumbarton

ELO progression

Arbroath
Dumbarton
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Arbroath
Arbroath
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jan. 1973
AYR
Ayr United
2 - 0
Arbroath
ARB
68%
20%
12%
64 76 12 0
06 Jan. 1973
ARB
Arbroath
2 - 1
Partick Thistle
PAR
36%
27%
37%
63 77 14 +1
01 Jan. 1973
EAS
East Fife
2 - 0
Arbroath
ARB
67%
21%
13%
63 70 7 0
30 Dec. 1972
ARB
Arbroath
5 - 1
Falkirk
FAL
36%
29%
35%
61 77 16 +2
23 Dec. 1972
MHE
Motherwell
2 - 0
Arbroath
ARB
75%
17%
9%
62 77 15 -1

Matches

Dumbarton
Dumbarton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jan. 1973
DUM
Dumbarton
0 - 2
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
29%
26%
44%
64 83 19 0
30 Dec. 1972
DUM
Dumbarton
4 - 2
Partick Thistle
PAR
32%
28%
40%
62 78 16 +2
23 Dec. 1972
DUN
Dundee United
3 - 2
Dumbarton
DUM
85%
10%
4%
63 83 20 -1
16 Dec. 1972
DUM
Dumbarton
0 - 0
Motherwell
MHE
37%
28%
36%
62 76 14 +1
09 Dec. 1972
AYR
Ayr United
2 - 0
Dumbarton
DUM
70%
19%
11%
62 75 13 0