Arbroath vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
22.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1962 |
ALL
2 - 2
ARB
55%
20%
26%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1962 |
STI
2 - 3
ARB
61%
19%
20%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1962 |
ARB
3 - 3
GRE
63%
19%
19%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1962 |
ARB
3 - 0
ALL
76%
14%
10%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1962 |
ARB
3 - 2
STI
53%
21%
26%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1962 |
GLA
1 - 1
DUM
79%
12%
9%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1962 |
DUM
1 - 3
GLA
31%
22%
47%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1962 |
BER
1 - 2
DUM
50%
21%
29%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1962 |
DUM
0 - 0
BER
71%
16%
13%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1962 |
DUM
1 - 0
FOR
78%
13%
9%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |